Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.042591 0.046487 0.050447 0.054765 0.059335 0.064021 0.069181
2024-12-29 0.036525 0.042218 0.048228 0.055018 0.062448 0.070306 0.079218
2025-01-05 0.031914 0.038887 0.046504 0.055379 0.065374 0.076221 0.088822
2025-01-12 0.027619 0.035413 0.044210 0.054757 0.066947 0.080481 0.096533
2025-01-19 0.024877 0.033406 0.043317 0.055501 0.069896 0.086187 0.105841
2025-01-26 0.021937 0.030864 0.041541 0.054989 0.071215 0.089910 0.112821
2025-02-02 0.019815 0.029112 0.040532 0.055232 0.073300 0.094442 0.120704
2025-02-09 0.018364 0.028065 0.040268 0.056280 0.076279 0.099994 0.129786
2025-02-16 0.017656 0.027906 0.041062 0.058604 0.080803 0.107409 0.141143
2025-02-23 0.015272 0.025302 0.038537 0.056570 0.079795 0.108028 0.144255
2025-03-02 0.013689 0.023667 0.037166 0.055910 0.080420 0.110578 0.149664
2025-03-09 0.012337 0.022249 0.035987 0.055412 0.081179 0.113243 0.155188
2025-03-16 0.011883 0.022140 0.036624 0.057388 0.085224 0.120152 0.166158
2025-03-23 0.011137 0.021535 0.036527 0.058348 0.087945 0.125422 0.175147
2025-03-30 0.010396 0.020877 0.036311 0.059114 0.090400 0.130364 0.183768
2025-04-06 0.009384 0.019702 0.035273 0.058678 0.091207 0.133171 0.189692
2025-04-13 0.008819 0.019208 0.035202 0.059577 0.093805 0.138302 0.198606
2025-04-20 0.007960 0.018144 0.034210 0.059105 0.094493 0.140920 0.204298
2025-04-27 0.007358 0.017471 0.033771 0.059396 0.096208 0.144882 0.211733
2025-05-04 0.006993 0.017185 0.033910 0.060519 0.099073 0.150372 0.221178
2025-05-11 0.006937 0.017458 0.034939 0.062974 0.103830 0.158422 0.234021
2025-05-18 0.005954 0.015906 0.032954 0.060841 0.102051 0.157677 0.235317
2025-05-25 0.005338 0.014994 0.031957 0.060150 0.102281 0.159608 0.240118